Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

WAS

38%

SF

62%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–15

Winner WAS. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.4 SF
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 SF
• Passing offense−0.2 WAS
• Rushing defense+0.2 SF