Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

TEN

86%

JAX

14%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

80%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–10

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.8 TEN
• QB yards/attempt−0.6 TEN
• Home field+0.5 JAX
• Rushing defense−0.5 TEN