Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

DEN

30%

CAR

70%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

32–27

Winner DEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 CAR
• Scoring+0.4 CAR
• Turnovers+0.3 CAR
• Passing defense−0.3 DEN