New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

NYG

27%

SEA

73%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

71%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–12

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.9 SEA
• Passing defense−0.8 NYG
• Home field+0.5 SEA
• Win percentage−0.3 NYG