Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

Before kickoff

LV

75%

NYJ

25%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

72%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–28

Winner LV. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.9 LV
• QB yards/attempt−0.7 LV
• Home field+0.5 NYJ
• Win percentage+0.3 NYJ