Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

LAR

42%

ARI

58%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–28

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 ARI
• Rushing defense−0.5 LAR
• Passing defense−0.4 LAR
• Points allowed+0.3 ARI