New York Giants at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

NYG

42%

CIN

58%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–17

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.7 NYG
• Home field+0.5 CIN
• Passing defense+0.3 CIN
• Passing offense−0.2 NYG