Las Vegas Raiders at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

LV

61%

ATL

39%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–43

Winner ATL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 ATL
• Passing offense−0.3 LV
• Passing defense−0.3 LV
• Win percentage+0.2 ATL