Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

CLE

70%

JAX

30%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–25

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.5 CLE
• Home field+0.5 JAX
• Win percentage+0.4 JAX
• Rushing defense−0.3 CLE