Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

BAL

58%

PIT

42%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–19

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 PIT
• Passing offense−0.2 BAL
• Scoring−0.2 BAL
• Win percentage−0.2 BAL