Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

TEN

33%

BAL

67%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–24

Winner TEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+0.7 BAL
• Home field+0.5 BAL
• Points allowed−0.5 TEN
• Turnovers−0.3 TEN