Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Before kickoff

LAR

28%

TB

72%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–24

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 TB
• Rushing defense+0.5 TB
• Scoring+0.5 TB
• Passing defense−0.4 LAR