Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

MIN

60%

CHI

40%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–13

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+0.7 CHI
• Scoring−0.7 MIN
• Home field+0.5 CHI
• Points allowed−0.4 MIN