Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

LAC

72%

MIA

28%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–29

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 MIA
• Passing defense−0.5 LAC
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 LAC
• Rushing defense−0.3 LAC