Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CIN

16%

PIT

84%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

76%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–36

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.8 PIT
• Home field+0.5 PIT
• Points allowed−0.5 CIN
• Win percentage−0.5 CIN