Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

SEA

49%

BUF

51%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–44

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+1.5 BUF
• Scoring−0.8 SEA
• Home field+0.5 BUF
• Points allowed−0.4 SEA