Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

MIA

29%

ARI

71%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–31

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.8 ARI
• Home field+0.5 ARI
• QB completion %−0.3 MIA
• Scoring+0.2 ARI