San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

SF

65%

SEA

35%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–37

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense−1.8 SF
• Points allowed+0.6 SEA
• Home field+0.5 SEA
• Scoring+0.3 SEA