New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

NO

89%

CHI

11%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

77%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–23

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−1.0 NO
• Home field+0.5 CHI
• Points allowed−0.5 NO
• Rushing defense−0.5 NO