Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

LV

48%

CLE

52%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–6

Winner LV. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 CLE
• Interception rate−0.3 LV
• Passing offense+0.3 CLE
• Turnovers−0.1 LV