Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos

Before kickoff

LAC

71%

DEN

29%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–31

Winner DEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.6 LAC
• Home field+0.5 DEN
• Scoring−0.4 LAC
• Passing offense+0.4 DEN