Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

SEA

43%

ARI

57%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

53%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–37

Winner ARI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+0.9 ARI
• Home field+0.5 ARI
• Scoring−0.4 SEA
• Points allowed−0.3 SEA