Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

PIT

46%

TEN

54%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–24

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.7 PIT
• Passing defense−0.6 PIT
• Home field+0.5 TEN
• Scoring+0.4 TEN