Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

HOU

20%

TEN

80%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

36–42

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 TEN
• Scoring+0.5 TEN
• Turnovers+0.4 TEN
• Points allowed−0.3 HOU