Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Before kickoff

GB

56%

TB

44%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–38

Winner TB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.9 TB
• Turnovers−0.8 GB
• Home field+0.5 TB
• Interception rate−0.4 GB