Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CLE

37%

PIT

63%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–38

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Points allowed−0.5 CLE
• Home field+0.5 PIT
• Rushing defense+0.5 PIT
• Passing defense+0.5 PIT