Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

CHI

31%

CAR

69%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–16

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.7 CAR
• Rushing defense−0.6 CHI
• Home field+0.5 CAR
• Points allowed+0.5 CAR