Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

BAL

78%

PHI

22%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–28

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.8 BAL
• Points allowed+0.7 PHI
• Home field+0.5 PHI
• Turnovers−0.5 BAL