Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

ARI

31%

DAL

69%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–10

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense−0.6 ARI
• Scoring+0.6 DAL
• Home field+0.5 DAL
• Points allowed+0.4 DAL