Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

PHI

42%

PIT

58%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

49%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–38

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 PIT
• Points allowed−0.4 PHI
• Passing defense+0.4 PIT
• Rushing defense+0.3 PIT