Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

MIA

11%

SF

89%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

73%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

43–17

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+1.3 SF
• Scoring+0.7 SF
• Points allowed−0.7 MIA
• Home field+0.5 SF