Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

LAR

58%

WAS

42%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–10

Winner LAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.7 LAR
• Home field+0.5 WAS
• Points allowed+0.5 WAS
• Rushing defense−0.4 LAR