Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

IND

64%

CLE

36%

Predicted winner

IND

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–32

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense−0.9 IND
• Points allowed+0.7 CLE
• Rushing defense−0.6 IND
• Home field+0.5 CLE