New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

NO

83%

DET

17%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

35–29

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.9 NO
• Scoring−0.6 NO
• Home field+0.5 DET
• Turnovers−0.3 NO