Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

MIN

49%

HOU

51%

Predicted winner

HOU

Confidence

43%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–23

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 HOU
• Rushing defense−0.5 MIN
• Scoring−0.3 MIN
• Passing defense+0.3 HOU