Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

JAX

62%

CIN

38%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

25–33

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.7 JAX
• Home field+0.5 CIN
• Passing defense+0.2 CIN
• Win percentage+0.2 CIN