Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

ATL

20%

GB

80%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–30

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+0.7 GB
• Win percentage−0.5 ATL
• Home field+0.5 GB
• Points allowed−0.5 ATL