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2020 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

ARI
46%
CAR
54%
Predicted winner
CAR
Confidence
45%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

2131

Winner CAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.5 CAR
  • Rushing defense−0.4 ARI
  • Passing defense+0.3 CAR
  • Points allowed+0.3 CAR