San Francisco 49ers at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

SF

76%

WAS

24%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–0

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential−0.8 SF
• Scoring−0.8 SF
• Win percentage+0.8 WAS
• QB yards/attempt−0.6 SF