Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

MIN

56%

DET

44%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

42–30

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential−0.4 MIN
• Rushing defense−0.3 MIN
• Win percentage+0.3 DET
• Home field+0.3 DET