Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

LAR

39%

ATL

61%

Predicted winner

ATL

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

37–10

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.7 ATL
• Scoring differential−0.4 LAR
• Scoring−0.4 LAR
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 ATL