Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

JAX

58%

CIN

42%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–17

Winner JAX. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.6 JAX
• Win percentage+0.3 CIN
• Home field+0.3 CIN
• Scoring differential−0.3 JAX