Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

BAL

44%

SEA

56%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–16

Winner BAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.3 BAL
• Home field+0.3 SEA
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 SEA
• Interception rate+0.2 SEA