Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints

Before kickoff

TB

47%

NO

53%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

48%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–31

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.7 TB
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 TB
• Passing offense+0.4 NO
• Interception rate+0.3 NO