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2019 · Week 5 · v0.2 · regular season

Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

MIN
61%
NYG
39%
Predicted winner
MIN
Confidence
53%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

2810

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Passing offense−0.4 MIN
  • Scoring differential−0.3 MIN
  • Home field+0.3 NYG
  • Passing defense−0.2 MIN