Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

GB

27%

DAL

73%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–24

Winner GB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.5 DAL
• Scoring differential+0.3 DAL
• Home field+0.3 DAL
• Win percentage−0.2 GB