Washington Commanders at New York Giants

Before kickoff

WAS

41%

NYG

59%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

49%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–24

Winner NYG. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 NYG
• Scoring+0.2 NYG
• Passing offense−0.2 WAS
• Passing defense−0.2 WAS