Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

TEN

51%

ATL

49%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

43%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–10

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense−0.6 TEN
• Offensive touchdowns+0.5 ATL
• Home field+0.3 ATL
• Scoring differential−0.2 TEN