Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

KC

66%

DET

34%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–30

Winner KC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−1.1 KC
• Passing offense+0.7 DET
• Offensive touchdowns−0.6 KC
• Win percentage+0.6 DET