Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

MIA

4%

DAL

96%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

71%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–31

Winner DAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+1.3 DAL
• Rushing defense+1.0 DAL
• Recent form−0.9 MIA
• Win percentage−0.9 MIA